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The Future of the Internet III

December 15, 2008 The Pew Internet & American Life Project has released their third "canvassing of Internet specialists and analysts," "The Future of the Internet III." They are quick to point out, however, that this is not a representative survey, as respondents could choose to respond or not.

Of the results to various scenarios put forward by the Pew researchers, only one seemed to have any significant weight of opinion. In responding to the scenario "The mobile phone is the primary connection tool for most people in the world," 81% of the total respondents (which included "stakeholders" in addition to "experts") agreed.

For other scenarios such as "Social tolerance has advanced significantly due in great part to the Internet," and "Content control through copyright-protection technology dominates," there was much less agreement.
What I found more interesting than the results themselves, however, were the comments.

For example, in responding to the scenario "Transparency heightens individual integrity and forgiveness," Jeff Jarvis said "We will enter a time of mutually assured humiliation; we all live in glass houses." Jerry Michalski responded to the same statement with "Gen Y has a new notion of provacy. The old 'never trust anyone over 30' will turn into 'never trust anyone who doesn't have embarrassing stuff online." In response to the asssertion that "Next-generation research will be used to improve the current Internet; it won't replace it," Luis Santos asserted, "The Web must still be a messy, fabulous, exciting, dangerous, poetic, depressing, elating place...akin to life; which is not a bad thing."

So in summary this report is unlikely to make any headlines, but it can be interesting to skim it, and see what the experts and others think about some of these potential directions.

Posted by Roy Tennant on December 15, 2008 | Comments (0)


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