Serving the Niche
Viewing libraries through Chris Anderson’s “Long Tail” lens
By Katherine Mossman -- Library Journal, 7/15/2006
The increasingly famous “Long Tail” is essentially a modernized version of the 80/20 rule, something with which most of us have at least a passing familiarity. The rule (credited to Vilfredo Pareto, a 19th-century philosopher) hypothesized, for example, that 80 percent of the property in Italy was owned by 20 percent of its citizens. That rule is now turned on its head, Chris Anderson observed in his groundbreaking article “The Long Tail” in Wired magazine (10/05). For instance, he notes that only 20 percent of the films made this year will be released onto the mass market, and only 20 percent of those will become hits. When you and I go grocery shopping in the brick-and-mortar stores in our towns, only 20 percent of the products actually on the market will be on the shelves for us to purchase. The rest will be seen, read, and/or purchased through alternate online or niche avenues.
Since he published his article, Anderson has presented on the Long Tail at an OCLC symposium at the American Library Association’s 2005 annual conference; he’s been interviewed by Marylaine Block for Ex Libris; and, most recently, he has participated at a public forum held at the New York Public Library. It’s clear that the Long Tail has captured the attention of the library world.
Noticing the niches
Anderson uses the Long Tail to describe the economic models of online businesses such as Amazon.com, NetFlix, and Rhapsody, which thrive on selling fewer of a larger variety of objects to more people than brick-and-mortar stores can. Librarians have taken note of Anderson’s work because libraries were, in fact, among the first entities to ever serve niche markets.
When we visit virtual stores like Amazon.com, NetFlix, or Rhapsody, much more than 20 percent of the market is represented. Because online outlets do not have to grapple with the same issues that brick-and-mortar stores do (like limited shelf space, expensive overhead, and shipping for those offering downloadable products), they can afford to offer more selection than the current best-selling brands.
The same can be said for libraries. In “The Long Tail,” Anderson is mainly concerned with the profitmaking possibilities that exist in niche markets. Although libraries don’t strive for profit, they wouldn’t have survived all this time if all they had offered were the Danielle Steels and John Grishams of the publishing landscape. Through their own deep, historical collections and far-reaching services like interlibrary loan and email document delivery, libraries can offer their customers access to an extensive number and variety of materials.
Libraries on the tail
Before the Internet, the consumer market was governed by the 80/20 rule. This meant that the availability of niche market items for the average consumer was limited at best. People had to visit specialty stores, travel outside their hometown, or use mail order to acquire anything other than the items sold in nearby retail outlets. For “niche reading,” as well as for audiovisual, historical, scholarly, or other unique material, a person tapped the vast resources of the library.
It’s clear that libraries have never followed the 80/20 rule, nor been governed by any other economic model that resembles one like that of a retail market. In their collecting habits, libraries were more like Amazon.com before Amazon.com and the other online retailers ever existed. Libraries seek and consistently offer their customers far more than the 20 percent that is represented by best sellers.
Libraries stock more than best sellers in part because librarians know that the demand curve for hits is very short. Consumer appetites are sustained by niche items. While multiple copies of best sellers account for a chunk of library spending, in the long term most of those copies will be discarded as demand wanes.
Another, crucial point of the long tail model: best sellers actually drive demand toward special interests. For example, librarians use “read-alike” lists (or databases) for those kids who come in expecting to find the latest Harry Potter on the shelf. When it isn’t available, we offer the reader an alternative, something “like” Harry Potter.
When librarians make offers like this, we accomplish at least four things: we put a library item—in this case a book—into the hands of a patron; we steer a best sellers reader to a “niche” item (using the “discovery” factor that can only take place in a library); we begin to cultivate in that individual an awareness of the vastness and value of the library’s collections; and, perhaps most important, we satisfy that library customer at that particular moment.
The filter revelation
Today’s online retailers are able to do electronically what librarians have traditionally accomplished manually using readers’ advisory sources like What Do I Read Next? and Genreflecting (both now available electronically), although on a much larger scale. These businesses point users to alternative materials via slick technology described by Anderson as “filter” technology: “Filters are people or software that help you find what you want in the long tail, driving demand from hits to niches.” Filters on Amazon.com made it possible to drive me, during a recent visit to its site, from Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone to The Chronicles of Narnia to Madeleine L’Engle’s A Wrinkle in Time to Norton Juster’s Phantom Tollbooth in just four mouse clicks.
Obviously, filters are meaningful for online business because they drive sales. For libraries, the effect is similar. When circulation statistics are viewed in terms of sales instead of simply the number of “circs” the library has produced, the long tail distribution may appear. Where once I may have checked out just Harry Potter, I may also take home any of the other three titles mentioned above, about which I may not have had any previous knowledge. And as libraries get better at using readalike software like that of Amazon, etc., the potential for patrons will get even better. (To see more on new software for libraries see LJ netConnect, Summer 2006.)
Amazingly, Amazon.com’s total sales for niche items— traditionally thought of as the least popular—collectively make up a higher percentage of its overall sales. In other words, niche sales are sustaining Amazon, although best sellers sales are thought to account for a more significant portion of consumer interest.
And thanks to filter technology—despite its intrinsic privacy issues—it is now possible to measure meaningfully consumer demand for niche items. In turn, these measurements have revealed, as Anderson says, the true market demand. They have exposed a consumer sophistication that many librarians have always known existed and have tried to satisfy.
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