Perfectly Confident: How To Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely

HarperCollins. May 2020. 272p. ISBN 9780062887757. $29.99. BUS
Moore (Univ. of California at Berkeley’s Haas Sch. of Business) shares results from his many years of analysis and research into confidence and decisionmaking. He examines psychological and economic studies that clarify confidence and explain when the trait is helpful and when
it can backfire. Moore emphasizes moderating by sharing how to maintain a healthy balance of overconfidence and underconfidence. While overconfidence can result in errors, underconfidence can lead to missed opportunities. The author teaches readers how to distinguish between the three main forms of confidence—estimating a meaningful self-image, realistically comparing oneself with others, and accurately assessing these inner beliefs—while also explaining how to avoid overestimation, overplacement, and overprecision. The premise is that determining the importance of confidence can be confusing for many, regardless of their profession. Solidly researched chapters explain the author’s view of confidence, how to reconsider what you think you know, how to think of possible outcomes and associated probabilities, and how to dispose of unhelpful wishful thinking. He concludes with recommendations and strategies on how to find your way to perfect confidence.
VERDICT VERDICT Wise, solidly researched, and highly recommended for academic libraries supporting business and psychology curriculum.

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